Happy Sivar-Eshrad! (October 20, 2009)

Bandit LOAF

Long Live the Confederation!
Today, October 20, is the annual Kilrathi Sivar-Eshrad ceremony. The event is the most sacred Kilrathi religious holiday. In preparation for the ceremony, all Sons of Kilrah who are able report to a site of Holy Dedication chosen by the Priestesses of Sivar in order to sing the praises of Lord Sivar by offering sacrifices in battle. The inhabitants of the dedication site must be forcibly converted to the Kilrathi religion. If the ceremony is performed properly the War God will favor the Warriors of Kilrah in battle for the next year. If not, they are doomed to be defeated by their enemies until they can atone for their failure. The Way of Lord Sivar may not be observed by non-believers.

The holy day first appeared in Secret Missions 2: Crusade and was also the basis for the two-part finale of Wing Commander Academy, Glory of Sivar. We know that Sivar ceremonies were held on Ghorah Khar in 2621, Dolos in 2654 and Firekka in 2655. The Emperor wanted to hold the ceremony on Earth in 2668 -- luckily, that didn't happen.




--
Original update published on October 20, 2009
 
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You could check ebay for "Firekkan-Head-On-A-Stick". But be careful, supposedly there are frauds trying to sell "Pidgeon-On-A-Stick" that haven't even been killes by a Kilrathi but domestic cats. That's why the organizer planted a "Kiranka seal of approval" on every genuine Firekkan this year, if the seller refuses to show it, it's probably a ripoff.
 
Oct 20 correct date?

I know the Sivar-Eshrad is once a year, but did anyone compensate for the fact that its "once a kilrathi year" and that the kilrathi year is LONGER than the terran year.

The quick and dirty way

As per wcrevival.de ---

Q: Sivar Eshrad always in .293?

A: The problem occuring to us during the work on the WC Academy series was "When does Sivar Eshrad take place in 2654". We asked ourselves that since the Kilrathi calendar seemed to be different from ours. So one Kilrathi year wouldn't be as long as a Terran year and resulting: Sivar Eshrad doesn't take place on the same Terran day every year. But the solution came to us in a dissapointing way. It DOES take place on the same day since Origin didn't use a complete Kilrathi calendar (as we thought to have seen in the WC Armada Manual) but simply calculated the decimal-system Terran dates into octal-system numbers to make it appear Kilrathi. But fact is.. A Kilrathi year is still 365 days long, but 365 written octal is 555, so it appears that a Kilrathi year has 555 days. Yes, octal written days, which are still 365 decimal days. So the Kilrathi use exactly the same numbers and have the same lenght of day, month and year as we here on Earth. They just write it different.
As dissapointing this was in a way, it made it at least easier for us to find out when Sivar Eshrad took place in 2654: on the same day as in 2655 and later.

MY NOTES ON THIS METHOD: WC Armada manual confirms this method. While easy, I find it highly unlikely since the chance of the Kilrathi year being nearly identical (to within a few minutes) as the Terran year. Only the one game uses this method/reference type.

RATING
Accuracy: 10/10 (if you assume "1 kilrathi year = 1 terran year")
Explanation: 7/10
Uniqueness: Rare (based from one explanation which is only used in one game)


[The semi-mathematical web-search way]

As per WC species database at http://hkn.eecs.berkeley.edu/~drake/govt.html

The Eshrad is on the 640th day of each Kilrathi year.

Kilrah's relatively close proximity to its sun with relation to Earth/Terra makes a Kilrah day approximately 10.5 Earth standard hours long. One Kilrathi standard year is about 669 Kilrathi standard days long, with one leap year of 668 days occurring every three years.

If this was true, then the Eshrad would be once every second Terran year. 1 year and 303 days... or roughly 1 year 9.77 months, which works out to 1 year 9 months 23.9999 days (bout 40 seconds short of 24 days)

MY NOTES ON THIS METHOD: You would need to calculate and recalculate every Eshrad starting at the from the one witnessed (on Ghorah Khar on 2621.293). This site uses the same history/profile/database as WC-CIC, which has the Eshrad on Firekka starting 2655.293 (confirming a start of .293 aka Oct.20) but the Terran-marine-assisted Firekkan resistance running until .315 aka Nov.15 before the Kilrathi gave up, which suggests the Eshrad lasts about 25 days (or that there's some kind of "time limit" like maybe a lunar cycle) within which that the Eshrad must be completed. Laughs. The site uses a "1.83" earth years per kilrathi year on their main species info page, but then when you click the links they send you to the larger "Kilrathi Comprehendrum" which WC-CIC and many others use, which has the Kilrathi year at 1.2 Terran years (438 days, not 669 days).

RATING
Accuracy: 6/10
Explanation: 7/10
Uniqueness: Fair but incomplete and inaccurate ... they reference two different Eshrads but then give the same day of the year (Oct. aka year# point 293) for both. That's imposible considering the 1.8 : 1 ratio would mean that the year before it would be in March and the one after would be in June)


The WC CIC Kilrathi database method

The standard Kilrathi year, 1.2 times as long as the Terran Standard. They are divided into 545 "orbits."

RATING
Accuracy: 3/10
Explanation: 3/10
Uniqueness: Fairly common to WC sites as they quote WC CIC or the CIC Kilrathi Comprehendrum as their info source.


The LONG math method

-- my prefered way --

Using WC-CIC as a basis...

This puts the Kilrathi year at 438 days, so you can use the 293'rd day of each of their years. And because their year nicely works out at 1.2 Terran, that means you'd see a date loop of 5 (approximately). (by "date" loop I mean the you'll get about 5 Eshrads in a row before you get a kind of "loop year" where a given Terran-year-# won't have an Eshrad during it.

I.E. the "day" changes. Say for 2009 the Eshrad falls on 2009-Oct-20, that means the next one is
1 year 73 days later... so it goes forward and backward like this:

2003-Sept-20
2004-December-2
2005 - is a "leap year" since there's no Eshrad during it
2006-Febuary-12
2007-April-26
2008-July-8
2009-October-20
2010 - is a "leap year" since there's no Eshrad during it
2011-January-1
2012-March-15
2013-June-27
2014-September-8
2015-December-20
2016 - is a "leap year" since there's no Eshrad during it
2017-March-3
2018-June-15

Course though, you shouldn't be starting in the present and working forward but starting on either the WC1-SM2 Eshrad on Firekka since its date is probably the most accurate (2655.278 -2655.315 for SM2 with the "exact" Eshrad date of 2655.293)

The Dolos Eshrad in WC Academy cartoon doesn't really have a date given, though many have "assumed" or "guestimated" it using the first-method's "point 293 rule". Unfortunately too many forget that the "point 293 rule" isn't 100% right cause it's the 293rd day of the KILRATHI year, not the Terran year.

Using the Firekkan date, 2655.293, aka 2655 Oct 20, then using my sample Eshrad list, you can somewhat work out what month it'll be for 2009. (Oct.20 2055 would probably work out at roughly 600 Eshrads before Firekka... seems every 6th year it falls on a 20th, so 6x100 = 600, so 2655.293 - 600 = 2055.293).

From there working back I get 2009.Jan.1 as the 2009 Sivar-Eshrad and 2000.Sept.8 as the y2k Sivar-Eshrad.

RATING
Accuracy: 7/10
Explanation: 7/10
Uniqueness: Fair but incomplete and inaccurate ... they reference two different Eshrads but then give the same day of the year (Oct. aka year# point 293) for both. That's imposible considering the 1.8 : 1 ratio would mean that the year before it would be in March and the one after would be in June)
 
kills TIME for the Sivar-Eshrad

working back... ( ~~~... on welfare disability... I got time to kill... so here's the math)

k, so .283 is Oct 20 (aka the 283rd day), so I changed it to a year percentage (293/365 = 0.808219).

A kilrathi year is 438 days, so 438 / 365 = 1.2

This makes the most certain date of Firekka's Eshrad = 2665.8027397

And the Eshrad before it would be: 2665.8027397 - 1.2 = 2654.6027397
(decimal reconverts to 219.999_ so call it day 220, which would be 2654.Aug.13)

So teh dates go like this:

2655.8027397 (2655.Oct.20)
2654.6027397 (2654.Aug.13)
2653.4027397 (2653.June.3)
2652.2027397 (2652.Mar.16)
2651.0027397 (2651.Jan.1) ... 2650 ... no Sivar Eshrad during 2650
2649.8027397 (2649.Oct.20)
2648.6027397 (2648.Aug.13)
2647.4027397 (2647.June.3)
2646.2027397 (2646.Mar.16)
2645.0027397 (2645.Jan.1) ... 2644 ... no Sivar Eshrad during 2644

so you do get 5 Terran years of Eshrad and then 1 Terran year of no Eshrad because the dates "line up" such that a whole Terran year fits within a Kilrathi year.

2643.8027397
2642.6027397
2641.4027397
2640.2027397
2639.0027397
2637.8027397
2636.6027397
2635.4027397
2634.2027397
2633.0027397
2631.8027397
2630.6027397
2629.4027397
2628.2027397
2627.0027397
2625.8027397

>> it takes 30 Eshrad's for an Oct.20 Eshrad to go from one year ending with a 5 to reach another year ending with a 5 (2665 Oct.20, 2625 Oct 20), so using this as a "short cut" you can skip down to far closer to 2009 (without having to recalculate every last Eshrad)

2655, 2625, 2595, 2565, 2535, 2505, 2475, 2445, 2415, 2385,
2355, 2325, 2295, 2265, 2235, 2205, 2175, 2145, 2115, 2085,
2055, 2025, 1995

So now we know that 2025 was an Oct.20 Eshrad... and we can work back

2025.8027397 (2025.Oct.20)
2024.6027397 (2024.Aug.13)
2023.4027397 (2023.June.3)
2022.2027397 (2022.Mar.16)
2021.0027397 (2021.Jan.1) ... 2020 ... no Sivar Eshrad during 2020
2019.8027397 (2019.Oct.20)
2018.6027397 (2018.Aug.13)
2017.4027397 (2017.June.3)
2016.2027397 (2016.Mar.16)
2015.0027397 (2015.Jan.1) ... 2014 ... no Sivar Eshrad during 2014
2013.8027397 (2014.Oct.20)
2012.6027397 (2013.Aug.13)
2011.4027397 (2012.June.3)
2010.2027397 (2011.Mar.16)
2009.0027397 (2009.Jan.1) ... 2008 ... no Sivar Eshrad during 2008




--- ref chart for changing days of year to decimals ---

day count or as decimals
jan 1-31, 0.0027397 to 0.849315
feb 32-58,
mar 59-90, 0.1616438 to 0.2465753
apr 91-112,
may 113-144, 0.309589 to 0.3945205
june 145-175,
july 176-207, 0.4821917 to 0.5671232
aug 208-239,
sept 240-270, 0.6575342 to 0.739726
oct 271-302,
nov 303-333, 0.8301369 to 0.9123287
dec 334-365, 0.9150684 to 0.9999999
 
~~~... that only took me what, 3 hours?

Oh, and before I forget, I used 1 kilrathi orbit = 438 TERRAN days for the math... cause we're trying to plot out what days to mark on a Terran calander ...

1 Kilrathi year = 545 orbits
1 Kilrathi year = 1.2 Terran years
545 orbits = 438 days
1 orbit = 0.8036697 terran days (~19.29 hours, ~19h + 17.5m)
1 day = 1.24429 orbits = 1 orbit + (5h + 51.7m terran time)

Anyways, we seriously missed the Sivar Eshrad this year if you go by the stricted mathematical tracking. But at least you have the next dozen or so now known (and highly accurate).

Now, mind you, I didn't account for that annoying Feb.29 that we get once every 4 years cause I don't know the full rules on it. Its like "any year equally devisible by 4 gets a leap-day, unless the year can be devided by 100 or some such... so 1992 and 1996 and 2004 and 2008 have a Feb.29, but 2000 doesn't cause it also splits by 100 nicely.

So 2652 is a leap year for us, so technically you could argue that the 2651 Sivar-Eshrad would be Jan.2 (because you'd have to count an extra day in/for Feb.2651 as you count 438 days back from the 2652.Mar.16 Sivar-Eshrad. But then, you'd be adding like 148 days to the 2009.Jan.1 date (cause 640 years / 4 = 160, which would bump the date to like 2009.June.10)

You can tell I got too much time on my hands, right? Wish I could drink some beer (or something with alcohol) and kill some brain cells and make myself a little dumber so I didn't over-think everything... but my stomach is over-sensitive to alcohol. I mean a shot-glass of LIGHT beer makes me very pukey, so chance of me getting drunk is like zero-squared.
 
We did a crazy amount of math about this some years ago (there's a CIC update years ago with a 'converter'), largely based on the dates in the Victory Streak manual... before realizing they weren't actually long years and instead were identical to the human dates pushed through the 'base 8' option on somebody's calculator.

The Kilrathi Saga lists it as an annual event on .293.
 
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